Friday, 16 November, 2018

Trump says election will be seen as referendum on him

To measure the real base of California's Republican support look no further than Trump's approval numbers Political Cornflakes: 'Trump has hijacked the election': Republicans worry the president's charged immigration rhetoric will cost them the House
Ellis Copeland | 07 November, 2018, 03:24

Earlier in the day, Trump said during a tele-town hall organized by his re-election campaign that the media would treat the midterm results as a referendum on his presidency.

Americans are going to the polls to vote on all 435 seats in the House, 35 of the 100 Senate seats and dozens of state governors.

"We'll just have to work a little bit differently", he told reporters when asked how he'd live with a Democrat-controlled lower chamber.

South Florida voters cast their ballots at a polling center in Miami, Florida on November 6, 2018. Republicans are expected to keep their majority in the Senate and forecast to gain one seat in the upper chamber.

Democrats would need all five of those races to go their way presuming they hold the seats they're expected to, plus pick up a seat in a longshot like Texas or Tennessee or MS to claim a majority.

CNN senior writer and political analyst Harry Enten published his final forecast Tuesday morning, in which he predicts Democrats to pick up 32 seats in the House and Republicans to gain a seat in the Senate. In an interview, she said Trump's doubling down on divisive immigration messages like ending birthright citizenship and sending troops to the U.S.

But with turnout a key unknown factor and pollsters still unsure about the effect of Trump's maverick style on voters, both parties admit that they may be in for a surprise.

At his rallies and on Twitter, Trump's closing argument has largely focused on fear - warning, without evidence, that a Democratic takeover would deliver the country into socialism, spurring an influx of illegal immigration and a wave of crime. Individual races "will be close", she said, but because of the "quality of our candidates" and emphasis on preserving health care, "I feel confident we will win". "No nation can allow its borders to be overrun".

Perhaps the most striking finding of the poll is that 43% of American mid-term voters named healthcare as the top issue for them. "That is an invasion of our country".

Almost as soon as the polls close on Tuesday night, Pelosi will face another campaign: One to keep her job as the Democratic leader in the House.

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USA midterm elections 2018: History against Trump ahead of crucial vote
And 35 Senate seats are in play, as are nearly 40 governorships and the balance of power in virtually every state legislature. It also predicts that 24 states will have Democratic governors and 26 will have Republican ones at the end of the night.


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Earlier in the day, President Kenyatta and President Xi held bilateral talks at the Xijiao State Guest Hotel in Shanghai . The trade pact came days after Kenya reversed a move to ban tilapia fish exports from China .


And the weeks leading up to Election Day were spotted with a string of violent incidents, including the deadly shooting rampage of a Pittsburgh synagogue and a series of pipe bombs being mailed to some of Trump's most prominent critics. You go back to 2001, 2000, they think they got jobbed when the Supreme Court stole the election in the Florida recount away from Algore.

He has famously said a vote for the G.O.P would be a "vote for me", but voters have so far cited the President in their resolution to not vote Republican.

Some Democrats are looking at using the House Ways and Means Committee to obtain copies of the president's tax returns after he broke with decades of tradition and withheld them from public scrutiny during his campaign for the White House. However, not so obvious is the fact that Democrats tend to speak louder about their voting habits than Republicans do, possibly putting Republicans even higher than the Rasmussen poll indicates. This is particularly true of the Senate, where each state has two seats regardless of population.

One in 4 Americans lives in the 125 congressional districts where no party is widely seen having a lock on Tuesday's vote. If history is any guide, the party of a president with that level of support is in for a rough time in a mid-term election. "But I do think that when you are in the arena, and somebody throws a punch, you better be able to take a punch and throw a punch".

Campaigning in Ohio, Trump declared that "everything is at stake" as he sought to bolster the campaign of Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine, the Republican candidate for governor. A conspiracy theory has also been put out that Jewish billionaire George Soros, a philanthropist and Democrat supporter, has facilitated the caravan to arrive in the United States and this theory has not only Trump's stamp of approval, but also widespread acceptance.

"In the end, we hold the House because of the strong economy", the Louisiana Republican told The Associated Press on the eve of Election Day.

"The popular vote rules", she said.

Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics also had some possible good news for the GOP, noting, "There really are believable scenarios that don't require Republicans to win districts that they have written off. Republicans have to catch some breaks, but they don't have to catch breaks in ways that shock and surprise us".

A Democratic majority in the House would nearly certainly bring an onslaught of investigations into Trump's businesses and his administration.

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