Friday, 16 November, 2018

Day of reckoning approaches in high-stakes USA mid-term elections

Lara Trump: Obama Stumping for Dems Shows 'They Must Be Pretty Scared' for Midterms Obama Mocks Trump for ‘Enough Indictments to Field a Football Team’: I Didn’t Have That Problem
Orlando Vargas | 05 November, 2018, 15:27

With a House majority, Democrats can significantly hamper the Trump administration's ability to implement its programs and could also begin impeachment proceedings against Trump, though they would need a two-thirds majority in the Senate to remove him from office.

Monday will be a barnstormer for Trump, who will make stops in OH and in before a final campaign pitch in Missouri, where he is trying to knock Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill out of office.

"This is going to be directly related to turnout". The writer, being a woman political journalist from India, now transplanted to the USA, is in a unique position to observe the three aspects that are critical to defining this presidency: chauvinism, gunslinger politics, and immigration. "These are some very close races and they are in states where Trump won big".

In his speech, he made clear that while his victory signalled a change in America, much remains to be done in terms of the core issues that faced the country at the time - among them the economy, and the Iraq War.

The current House has 236 Republicans and 193 Democrats, with six vacant seats.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll on Sunday suggested that while Democrats retain an edge in their battle for the House, Republicans could profit from increasingly positive assessments of the economy and by Trump's harsh focus on border security.

And with Democrats favoured to retake the House of Representatives, Republican National Committee chair Ronna McDaniel concurred that: "It's going to depend on voter turnout on Election Day".

"The level of fervor, the level of fever is very strong in the Republican side", said Trump, adding: "I have never seen such excitement".

The party of a first-term president tends to lose congressional seats in his first midterm. But a healthy economy tends to favour the incumbent - and the USA economy has been growing with rare vigour.

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The new American sanctions particularly hurt Iran's vital oil industry, a crucial source of hard currency for its anemic economy. Iran's military has said that it would hold air defence drills on Monday and Tuesday to prove the country's capabilities.


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A second poll, by NBC and The Wall Street Journal, also showed Democrats holding the same seven-point advantage over Republicans.

A fanatical Trump supporter was also arrested on charges of mailing pipe bombs to prominent opponents of the president, including Obama.

All midterm elections are a referendum on the incumbent president, and Trump has made this election about himself more than most presidents have, insisting in his campaign rallies that voters should approach the election as if he is on the ballot.

"We're not letting these people invade our country", Trump declared.

Among likely voters, a majority, 52% say they strongly disapprove of the way the president is handling his job, 35% say they strongly approve of his work as President, and just 11% of those likely to vote on Tuesday say they don't have strong views on Trump.

"There's got to be consequences when people don't tell the truth, when words stop meaning anything".

"The only check right now on the behavior of these Republicans is you and your vote", Obama told supporters in Gary, Indiana, during a rally for Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly.

Over all, while the conditions for a Democratic takeover have been laid - in one survey of competitive House races, 50 per cent of likely voters support the Democrats, with 46 supporting the Republicans - there are no certainties, especially in the wake of the failure of pollsters to identify the Trump surge that carried the Manhattan billionaire to the White House two years ago.

Mr Trump has punched back, accusing Mr Obama of leaving behind a trail of broken promises on trade, the economic recovery and a promise during his presidency that patients could keep their doctors under his health care law.

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