Thursday, 13 December, 2018

Subtropical Storm Alberto Forms In NW Caribbean

Precipitation potential map Tropical Storm "Alberto"
Doris Mccormick | 26 May, 2018, 14:16

Alberto, with maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour, is moving east at 2 miles per hour near the Yucatan Peninsula and is forecast to begin moving north Friday night.

"Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, with little change in strength forecast on Monday", the Hurricane Center said.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. However, models expect this will subside a little by Saturday and Sunday, leaving a window for the system to form in the Gulf.

EXPLAINER: Why is Alberto only subtropical?

The storm is expected to produce heavy rain across the Southeast U.S. Flooding is a large concern from Louisiana to Florida. This heavy rain could lead to flooding in vulnerable areas of Southwest Florida.

Current predictions have Polk County facing between 4 to 6 inches of rain through the weekend, while the Sarasota-Bradenton coastal areas could get 5 to 7 inches, according to the National Weather Service.

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Here is a historical plot of some of the systems that became tropical storms before June 1.

Saturday will start out cloudy with scattered showers, but nothing too our of the ordinary as Alberto will still be far to our south. That general northward movement is expected for the next couple of days as Alberto works its way through the Gulf of Mexico before it turns to the northwest Monday. As rainfall accumulates next week, the ability of rivers to handle increased runoff could result in flash flooding.

There are now no severe weather alerts for Northeast Florida, but rip current warnings were issued Friday along Florida's Gulf Coast area expected to be extended to the East Coast over the weekend.

A hotel owner in Panama City Beach, Florida has said people are cancelling because of the weather and room reservations are down by 20 per cent.

At the meeting, Gov. Scott urged Floridians to watch the weather closely and make a plan. If you live in a flood-prone area keep a close eye on water levels this weekend and never attempt to drive through flooded roads.

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