Saturday, 15 December, 2018

Preakness 2018 Draw and Odds: Justify Is Overwhelming Favorite

ImageBob Baffert with Justify at Pimlico Race Course ImageBob Baffert with Justify at Pimlico Race Course
Frederick Owens | 17 May, 2018, 20:27

Then, it could go one of two ways: Derby victor Justify either wins the Preakness and takes his a Triple Crown quest into the Belmont, or he loses the Preakness and horse racing slinks back into obscurity.

Favorites often win the Preakness and longshots rarely do.

The importance of post position is slightly lesser for the Preakness, the shortest of the three Triple Crown events, given it is typically a much smaller field compared to the Kentucky Derby.

At last year's Preakness, he was all over Cloud Computing, who won as an upset favorite.

The Kentucky Derby-winning trainer of Justify is apparently a huge fan of the musician.

At the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago, Demling won his 10th straight Derby-Oaks double - he held a ticket with the winners of both races for the 10th straight year. In each of the last two years, the Derby runner-up finished ahead of the Derby victor in the Preakness.

Here are the latest odds for the projected Preakness field, according to Vegas Insider. So these numbers could change plenty between now and Preakness post time (7:35 p.m. ET) on May 20. And Baffert, seeking his seventh Preakness win, said he sees similarities between the son of Scat Daddy and his four prior Derby winners that took the Woodlawn Vase. With Justify coming off a Kentucky Derby victory, Bob Baffert and his horse are the odds-on favorite. He seems to have worked his way through it just fine. Of the new shooters, only Quip has a two-turn graded stakes win on his resume. The final six furlongs of the race were run in 1:18. That race was a disaster from the start, though, as he hopped out of the gate and lost his early positioning.

Justify is aiming to become only the 13th horse in victory to win all three races in the Triple Crown.

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"It would point him toward the Triple Crown", Walden said.

But not Derby runner-up Good Magic, who will start from the No. 5 post and is listed as a 3-1 second choice.

Many would argue that with impeccably bred horses, bottomless resources and a Hall of Fame trainer, nothing is impossible. With heavy overnight thunderstorms leaving the Pimlico main track a sloppy mess (more of this is unfortunately forecasted for the remainder of the week), the dark bay was out for only light exercise. So if I bet a trifecta box on Always Dreaming, Classic Empire and Irish War Cry in the Preakness, I'd actually be making six bets because I'm taking all six possible combinations. Right now, I feel confident he's going to show up. Anything's possible, but it's highly unlikely this time around. He'll be ridden by jockey Florent Geroux. Lone Sailor's best performances were a second-place finish in the Louisiana Derby and a third-place finish (as a 2-year-old) in the Breeders' Futurity. Off slowly, he got stopped cold on the rail.

The way to make money in a Preakness like this is through exotics - bets like trifectas and superfectas.

Lightly raced Tenfold may have the most upside.

Diamond King, victor of the Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park, will also take a shot at the Derby champion, starting from the No. 4 post and listed as a 30-1 long shot.

Lukas also trains Sporting Chance, who drew the 3 post.

"I get paid to spoil dreams", Lukas said.

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